Capacity Planning in the Face of Uncertain Demand
The Flaw of Averages 2:33 Video
Chancification and the Probability Powergrid 4:32 Video
Chance-Informed Decisions 2:00 Video
ChancePlan Unlocks Value in the Face of Uncertainty
Each of the applications of SIP Libraries below and many more like them would have been facilitated by ChancePlan.AI had it existed at the time.
Portfolios
Finding Optimal Tradeoffs between Expected Return and the Chance of Loss by accounting for the interrelationships between assets.
Shell Portfolios of Exploration Projects
Kaiser Realized $Millions Through Integrating Risk Management and Investments.
The Chance Economy Dividend
This is the value unlocked by explicitly accounting for uncertainty. It is validated by two Nobel Prize–winning pillars of modern finance: Portfolios and Options. The Open SIPmath™ Standard for conveying uncertainty extends these principles to virtually any industry facing uncertainty.
Options
Determining fair Options Prices through correct Expected Values of Nonlinear Payoffs. Similar strategies for Profiting from Uncertainty apply in many settings.